8 Feb 2022, 21:06

211e03b3-58c3-4492-8c25-62b006071b15-image.png

CASTILLA Y LEÓN FACES A REGIONAL ELECTION WITH THE UNCERTAINTY OF A PEOPLE'S PARTY MAJORITY

4d130fe3-63c5-4aeb-88c8-ea934e556370-image.png
The Partido Popular's (People's Party) candidate and Acting President of Castilla y León, Alfonso Pérez Mañueco, oin a rally the past weekend

What will happen next Sunday is still unknown, but what many predict is that it will be tight for the Partido Popular, fighting for a majority that seems to be more far as the campaign advances and non having to ratify a deal with the far-right party, VOX, which seems to be growing. Meanwhile, in the sunny south of the country, the President of Andalucía, Juanma Moreno (Partido Popular) looks carefully to whatever the outcome of the call to the polls is, debating himself between calling for a regional election if the result is extraordinary or either hold them and wait until the summer or autumn. It seems like the start of a novel, doesn't it? For those believing it is one, I am pretty sorry, this is what is going on in Spain right now.

After the regional elections in Madrid, where Isabel Díaz Ayuso (Partido Popular) got 64 seats (5 short of a majority) and could make her dream of just the Spanish President's party governing Madrid; and in Escocia, where the nationalists of the Scottish National Party just missed one seat for the wished majority, the Partido Popular-Ciudadanos crisis just gets worse, with our autonomous community as the stage for a new battle for the control of the right-wing. The strategy seems not to be controlled by Jesús Aguilar, whose power inside the Partido Popular would be questioned by a somewhat more conservative faction led by Pablo Casado, who is a member of Aguilar's Executive Committee. After the attempt of a no-confidence motion in Murcia by Ciudadanos, which forced Ayuso and Aguilar to push forward an election in Madrid; Mañueco, without any apparent reason but excusing himself on a "possible Murcia's strategy between PSOE and Ciudadanos", summoned an election for the very same Sunday that, one year ago, saw another call to the polls, that time in Catalonia.

However, the polls seem to be getting worse for Mañueco and Aguilar: when the election was called, the Partido Popular was given a majority by most of them; today they would need to sign an agreement with either VOX or the localist / regionalist parties all around Castilla y León, running for the election to make their voice heard. These parties, which group theirselves in the "España Vaciada" platform (a social movement to ask for measures to protect the rural way of life, with parties such as Soria ¡YA! or Vía Burgalesa) or independently (such as Unión del Pueblo Leonés, a Leonese autonomist plaform; XÁvila, a party made of former PP members which believe on Ávila's regionalism or Zamora Decide, a regionalist party from the province of Zamora).

db44743d-47b9-4f83-b018-3174f26397aa-image.png
One of the last polls released for the Castilla y León election

With VOX growing faster and faster, Ciudadanos close to disappearing from another regional parliament and many regionalist parties arising with enough political force, the Government's pillars start to shake like if an earthquake was hitting them hard. Ciudadanos' candidate in the region, Francisco Igea, has stated that "he will not sign an agreement with Mañueco, who backstabbed me and is the one lying to the people of Castilla y León", while today, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, who seems to have been urgently deployed to rescue the bad result the Partido Popular could get, has opened the door to an agreement with VOX. Whatever happens on February 13th, it will have consequences for every single contendents, and who knows if it will have consequences for Jesús Aguilar as well.


OCC: This is a Roleplay-based article, not one pretending to report what is going on in Castilla y León. This article does not intend to break the LOREG law of Spain, which has forbidden the publication of polls for this election since yesterday.