11 Jul 2022, 14:47

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Two-thirds of Elthize say they won't vote in the commission elections

  • Around two-thirds of the Elthic population eligible for voting will not vote in the European Commission elections, says the Polling Institute of Elthize (PIE)
  • PIE states that most Elthic people are uninformed about the elections and feel apathetic towards the candidates
  • The remaining will most likely vote for Cotilla and Juncker

Kelly Meghan - July 11, 2022

In the European Union, every four months, commission elections are done to elect the following three positions: the Foreign Affairs Commissioner, the Internal Affairs Commissioner, and the Premier Commissioner. The positions are self-explanatory: the Foreign Affairs Commissioner manages relationships outside the European Union, the Internal Affairs Commissioner does peacekeeping within the EU and ensures that member states aren't at each other's neck, and the Premier Commissioner essentially acts as the President of the union as a whole, managing the budget and the economy. This marks the first time that Elthize will participate in the commission elections in the European Union since the country joined in April... Or will it? Because according to recent polling from the Polling Institute of Elthize (PIE), the majority of the country is not considering voting at all. For those that have been polled, around two-thirds (63.2%) of the country's eligible voters (aged 16 and up) said that they did not plan on voting in the commission elections. Young people were particularly disinterested in the elections. Around eighty per cent (81.6%) of the polled who were aged 15-25 said they had no intent to vote.


But why though?

Well, thankfully, the PIE has questioned some of the polled on their reasoning, and here are some slices from the full report: According to The Tribunal journalist Janice Kyou, who was involved with the report and works for the institution part-time, those who are not considering to vote this election are usually apathetic towards all candidates, meaning they don't find them significant enough to cast a vote. The other possible reason for the low turnout is the fact that this is the first EU election Elthize will participate in since its accession to the European Union this April, and because of this, it is predicted that not many Elthics are aware of how EU institutions work and how they can vote. Because of this, many experts expect the turnout to rise in the coming elections, as Elthics gain more knowledge about the European Union.

There is also another, third reason: There are voters who do not vote out of protest, particularly those who disapproved of Elthize joining the European Union, which accounts for around twenty-five to thirty-five per cent of the population, according to various polls. (PIE's polling in March 2022 put it at 29.9%.) As these people dislike the EU, they do not have any desire of helping them out by voting.


What about the other third?

There are five candidates in this commission election: Jean-Claude Juncker of Spain and Calvin Kühnert of the United Duchies will compete for the position of Premier Commissioner, while Kevin Cotilla of Leagio and Ilmaras Kalessed of Istkalen will compete for the position of the Internal Affairs Commissioner. Meanwhile, Antoni Reynels of Inquista ran for the position of Foreign Affairs Commissioner. He is unopposed, which is usual, as the last time the position had two candidates run for it was in the February 2021 election.

So, which of the four candidates will get the remaining third's vote? Well, it doesn't seem to be that competitive. In the Internal Affairs Commission elections, Cotilla, to put it simply, decimates Kalessed in the PIE poll with a seventy-eight-point lead (83.7% - 16.3%). It is predicted that the candidates' nationalities heavily influence these results. There's also the fact that the ruling coalition (The Third Option, New Democracy & The Nationals), as well as many members of the Grimwald cabinet, including Minister of Foreign Affairs Oscar Crofton, has endorsed Cotilla. FT-SA and Crimson endorsed Kalessed, and, while not official, many members of The Greens and a small portion of Labour MPs have endorsed her as well.

The Premier Commissioner race is closer, but still, Juncker remains the clear winner against Kühnert (59.1% - 40.9%). Juncker enjoys name recognition in Elthize, as he was the Internal Affairs Commissioner two years ago, and remains a popular figure in the country today. While The Third Option did not officially endorse any candidate, many party members approve of Juncker more. Meanwhile, the other two member parties of the ruling coalition have endorsed Juncker. The opposition has not officially endorsed either of the candidates, though many members of these parties there also prefer a Juncker premiership, particularly Labour.


Can this issue be solved?

Most experts blame the government for the low turnout, citing that it didn't do enough to introduce the European Union to the Elthics. Mareen Orthaneez, an economist at the University of St. Lucas, said the following: "Simply put, Grimwald did not explain how or why Elthize joining the European Union would benefit the country, and, whenever he came close to explaining, his answers were unbelievably vague. He just said that it would benefit the economy, again, not explaining why, and people believed him. Most Elthic people are politically apathetic, so he got away with it." Some, however, think that low turnout is not an issue and doesn't need a solution. Malikhi, a prominent political blogger, said that the low turnouts were "democracy in action", further writing that "one cannot have democracy by force".

Many experts also agree that it is too early for judgement, as this is the first EU election Elthize will participate. Orthaneez agrees: "It is understandable why not many would support something they don't know and have no clue about. It's been three months. We need to give it time. One year from on, I see it increasing to 50%, honestly."